Toy Story 5 Box Office: It’s at $768 Million. The $1 Billion Question Isn’t What You Think.
Toy Story 5 has made roughly $768 million worldwide in four weeks. That is a very large number. It is also, right now, about $232 million short of the number everyone actually cares about.
The Toy Story 5 box office story is being reported everywhere as a straight success, and by any sane measure it is one. But the coverage is skipping the interesting part. Pixar’s sequel is not struggling to find an audience. It is struggling to find an audience overseas, in the specific markets where billion-dollar animated films are normally made — and a rival animated blockbuster just landed on top of it.
Here is the math, and here is what it actually depends on.
Where it stands: As of early July 2026, Toy Story 5 has grossed approximately $370 million domestically and $398 million internationally, for a worldwide total near $768 million. It opened to $159.7 million in North America. To reach $1 billion, it needs roughly another $232 million.
The numbers as they stand
Per Box Office Mojo, Toy Story 5’s split breaks down like this:
| Territory | Gross | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Domestic | ~$370.2 million | 48.2% |
| International | ~$398.0 million | 51.8% |
| Worldwide | ~$768.2 million | — |
Domestic opening weekend: $159.7 million. Earliest international release: 17 June 2026 across EMEA and APAC. Runtime is a lean 1 hour 42 minutes, rated PG, directed by Andrew Stanton and McKenna Harris.
Cartoon Brew reported that in its most recent frame the film added around $100.3 million globally — $31 million domestic, $69.3 million international. Movieweb noted it crossed the $750 million mark over that same weekend.
Note that different trackers report slightly different totals at any given moment depending on when estimates are finalised. Treat everything here as approximate.
Toy Story 5 box office vs Toy Story 4: the comparison that matters
Toy Story 4 finished its run at roughly $1.07 billion worldwide in 2019. It remains the franchise’s high-water mark.
Toy Story 5 opened bigger domestically — $159.7 million against Toy Story 4’s opening in the low $120 millions. On paper that is a franchise in rude health, and Wikipedia’s 2026 film record notes that the Toy Story series crossed $4 billion in total franchise earnings with this release, making it the third animated franchise to do so. The film also posted the biggest franchise opening ever in Japan, overtaking Toy Story 4.
So why isn’t $1 billion a formality?
Because of the ratio. A near-even 48/52 domestic-to-international split is not the shape of a billion-dollar animated film. Films that cross that line typically do it on the strength of a lopsided international haul — often 60% or more of the total. Toy Story 5 is over-indexed at home and under-indexed abroad, and there are only so many North American ticket buyers left.
The China problem nobody is naming
Here is the detail that changes the analysis.
When Deadline covered the global opening of Universal’s Minions & Monsters this month, it noted that the film’s Chinese debut — around $16.4 million across some 30,000 screens — was broadly in line with what Despicable Me 4 and Toy Story 5 had done there.
Read that again. Toy Story 5’s China performance is being used as a benchmark for ordinary.
China is the market where animated tentpoles historically close the gap between $800 million and $1 billion. If Toy Story 5’s China number is merely comparable to a Despicable Me sequel’s, then the largest single reservoir of remaining international upside is smaller than the headline totals suggest.
That is not a failure. It is simply the difference between a film that reaches $1 billion and one that finishes at $900 million and change.
The calendar problem
The second obstacle arrived last weekend, and it wears goggles.
Minions & Monsters narrowly took the domestic number one spot from Toy Story 5, per the A.V. Club’s weekend report. Deadline had the Universal film nearing $161 million worldwide out of the gate. Cartoon Brew’s tally put animated films in both of the top two global positions — Minions & Monsters first, Toy Story 5 second with its $100.3 million frame.
Two enormous animated films are now competing for exactly the same audience: families with children, in summer, choosing one cinema trip rather than two.
Toy Story 5 has held up well elsewhere — Variety reported it held number one in the UK and Ireland for a third straight weekend with $7.6 million. But domestic legs are what get a film from $768 million to $1 billion, and domestic legs are what Minions & Monsters is now eating into.
So will Toy Story 5 cross $1 billion?
Screen Rant has called it assured, and predicted Toy Story 5 will finish as 2026’s top earner and break the franchise’s own record.
A more careful reading: probable, but not assured, and the franchise record is a genuinely hard target.
The case for:
- Four-quadrant family films have long tails, especially through school holidays.
- $232 million across a global footprint over the remaining run is not a stretch.
- The film is still number one in major territories including the UK.
- Word of mouth appears strong — a 1h42m runtime and a PG rating are built for repeat family viewing.
The case against:
- The domestic-heavy split means the easy international money may already be banked.
- China, the usual accelerant, appears to be performing at merely normal levels.
- Minions & Monsters is a direct competitor for the same seats, in the same weeks.
- Beating Toy Story 4’s ~$1.07 billion requires not just crossing $1 billion but clearing it comfortably.
The honest verdict: Toy Story 5 very likely crosses $1 billion. Whether it beats Toy Story 4 is a real contest, and anyone telling you otherwise in July is guessing.
Where it sits in the 2026 race
Two films are currently ahead of it worldwide:
| Film | Worldwide gross |
|---|---|
| The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | ~$1.00 billion |
| Michael | ~$977 million |
| Toy Story 5 | ~$768 million |
| The Devil Wears Prada 2 | ~$678 million |
| Pegasus 3 | ~$656 million |
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie was the first film of 2026 to cross $1 billion. Michael, the Michael Jackson biopic, became the highest-grossing biopic of all time, passing Oppenheimer, and set a biopic opening record with $217.4 million worldwide.
Toy Story 5 needs roughly $210 million more to pass Michael, and roughly $233 million to take the year’s top spot outright. Both are within reach. Neither is done.
Key Takeaways
- Toy Story 5 has grossed approximately $768 million worldwide as of 9 July 2026.
- Domestic $370.2M, international $398.0M — a 48/52 split that is unusually domestic-heavy for a film chasing $1 billion.
- Domestic opening: $159.7 million, bigger than Toy Story 4’s.
- Its China performance appears merely average, removing the usual accelerant.
- Minions & Monsters just took the domestic #1 spot and is competing for the same family audience.
- $1 billion is probable. Beating Toy Story 4’s ~$1.07 billion franchise record is a genuine contest.
- The Toy Story franchise has now crossed $4 billion lifetime, the third animated franchise to do so.